Home Prices Advance Another 3 Percent in Second Quarter, Show Signs of Slowing

Staff Report From Georgia CEO

Thursday, August 1st, 2024

Single-family home prices increased 6.9 percent from Q2 2023 to Q2 2024, down from the previous quarter's upwardly revised annual growth rate of 7.3 percent, according to Fannie Mae's (OTCQB: FNMA) latest Home Price Index (FNM-HPI) reading, a national, repeat-transaction home price index measuring the average, quarterly price change for all single-family properties in the United States, excluding condos. On a quarterly basis, home prices rose a seasonally adjusted 1.3 percent in Q2 2024, down from the revised 2.0 percent growth in Q1 2024. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, home prices increased by 3.0 percent in Q2 2024.

"Home prices rose again in the second quarter, but the pace of growth slowed as important elements of housing demand and supply inched closer together," said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae Senior Vice President and Chief Economist. "Elevated mortgage rates and ongoing affordability constraints are increasingly limiting homebuyer demand and thus dampening the pace of home price appreciation. Meanwhile, the number of homes available for sale is rising in many metro areas, which is also dampening home price growth. While we expect home price growth to decelerate further in the coming quarters, a still-tight inventory of homes for sale and stretched affordability remain significant challenges and, in our view, are likely to constrain mortgage demand and home sales for the foreseeable future."

The FNM-HPI is produced by aggregating county-level data to create both seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally adjusted national indices that are representative of the whole country and designed to serve as indicators of general single-family home price trends. The FNM-HPI is publicly available at the national level as a quarterly series with a start date of Q1 1975 and extending to the most recent quarter, Q2 2024. Fannie Mae publishes the FNM-HPI approximately mid-month during the first month of each new quarter.

For more information on the FNM-HPI, including a description of the methodology and the Q2 2024 data file, please visit our Research & Insights page on fanniemae.com.

To receive e-mail updates regarding future FNM-HPI updates and other housing market research from Fannie Mae's Economic & Strategic Research Group, please click here.