Millennials Contributing to The Ongoing Refinance Boom
Thursday, November 5th, 2020
With interest rates nearing 3% for all loans, many millennials took advantage of the opportunity to refinance their mortgages in September, according to the latest Ellie Mae Millennial Tracker. Refinances climbed to 43% of all closed loans for millennials in September, up 3% from the previous month.
Refinances accounted for 51% of Conventional loans in September, the highest percentage since June, and up from 48% just the month prior.
In September, older millennials locked in slightly higher interest rates of 3.00%, on average, compared to 2.98% for younger millennials. With interest rates historically low, the share of refinance loans increased for both sub-groups of millennials.
While millennials are buying homes, the end to summer homebuying seasonality meant purchases dipped for the second month in a row, accounting for 56% of all closed loans, down from 59% in August.
"We have seen a steady increase in refinances among millennials over the past month, as homeowners took advantage of historically low interest rates," said Joe Tyrrell, president, ICE Mortgage Technology, a division of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE). "However, the bulk of the millennial generation is still entering the market as first-time homebuyers and they're swooping up the limited inventory that is available in most markets."
Conventional purchase loans shrunk to 48% for the month, down from 52% in August. VA refinances stayed steady at 35% month-over-month, and VA purchase loans held at 65% month-over-month during this same time period. Meanwhile, FHA percentages have held steady for the past four months.
Time-to-close for all loans increased to 49 days in September, compared to 47 in August. Given the increase in refinances, the time-to-close on refinance loans also increased by two days, month-over-month, to 55 days in September.
The Ellie Mae Millennial Tracker offers insights into two groups of millennial homebuyers: older millennials between 30 and 40 years old, and younger millennials between 21 and 29 years old.
Ellie Mae Millennial Tracker – Older Millennials vs. Younger Millennials |
||
Older Millennials |
Younger Millennials |
|
Closed Loans (Share) — All |
||
Refinance |
51% |
22% |
Purchase |
48% |
77% |
Loan Type - All |
||
FHA |
12% |
24% |
Conventional |
85% |
72% |
VA |
1% |
1% |
Other |
1% |
3% |
Time To Close (Days) — All |
||
All |
50 |
45 |
Refinance |
55 |
54 |
Purchase |
44 |
43 |
Average Interest Rates |
||
30 Year Note Rate — ALL |
3.00% |
2.98% |
30 Year Note Rate — FHA |
2.99% |
2.98% |
30 Year Note Rate — Conventional |
2.99% |
2.97% |
30 Year Note Rate — VA |
2.74% |
2.74% |
Average FICO |
747 |
728 |
The Ellie Mae Millennial Tracker is an interactive online tool that provides access to up-to-date demographic data about this new generation of homebuyers. It mines data from a robust sampling of approximately 80% of all closed mortgages dating back to 2014 that were initiated on Ellie Mae's Encompass® all-in-one mortgage management solution. Given the size of this sample and Ellie Mae's market share, it is a strong proxy of millennial mortgage indicators across the country. Searches can be tailored by borrower geography, age, gender, marital status, FICO score and amortization type. For more information, visit http://elliemae.com/millennial-tracker.