Trump Leads Clinton on Top-Ranking Economic Issues

Lydia Saad

Friday, June 3rd, 2016

If the race for president comes down to Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, Trump could benefit from an edge in public confidence on the issues Americans are prioritizing most this election. A slight majority of Americans choose Trump as better able to handle the economy (53%) and jobs (52%), and 50% choose him -- versus 46% who choose Clinton -- on terrorism and national security.

Americans' Preference for Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton to Handle Each of Top Five Election Issues

Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you think Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would better handle each of the following issues.

 

High importance to vote^

Prefer Trump on issue

Prefer Clinton on issue

Advantage

 

%

%

%

 

The economy

92

53

43

Trump +10

Employment and jobs

89

52

45

Trump +7

Terrorism and national security

87

50

46

Trump +4

Education

86

35

61

Clinton +26

Healthcare and the Affordable Care Act

83

40

56

Clinton +16

^ Percentage saying the candidates' positions on the issue will be extremely/very important issue to influencing their vote for president

Gallup, May 18-22, 2016

At the same time, the Democratic front-runner boasts commanding leads over the presumptive Republican nominee in public perceptions of who can best handle education and healthcare, with 61% and 56%, respectively, choosing Clinton over Trump on these issues. Both issues rank among the top five Americans say will influence their vote for president.

These findings come from a May 18-22 Gallup poll in which U.S. adults were first asked to rate how important each of 17 prominent national issues will be to their vote for president this year, and then to say whether Clinton or Trump would best handle each issue. As Gallup reported previously, most of the issues Americans rate as highly important are economic and national defense-related. By contrast, most of the bottom eight involve social policy, trade and the environment. (See the full list in the table at the end of the story.)

Overall, Trump leads Clinton in public perceptions of who would better handle eight of the 17 issues. Beyond his modest leads on the economy (+10) and jobs (+7), and slight edge on terrorism (+4), he leads on several lower-ranked concerns: the federal budget deficit (+18), the size and efficiency of the federal government (+14), regulation of banks and Wall Street (+11), taxes (+8) and gun policy (+5).

Donald Trump Issue Advantages

Based on U.S. adults

 

High importance to vote^

Prefer Trump on issue

Prefer Clinton on issue

Advantage

 

%

%

%

 

The economy

92

53

43

Trump +10

Employment and jobs

89

52

45

Trump +7

Terrorism and national security

87

50

46

Trump +4

The federal budget deficit

78

57

39

Trump +18

Taxes

71

52

44

Trump +8

The size and efficiency of the federal government

64

55

41

Trump +14

Gun policy

63

50

45

Trump +5

Government regulation of Wall Street and banks

59

53

42

Trump +11

^ Percentage saying the candidates' positions on the issue will be extremely/very important issue to influencing their vote for president

Gallup, May 18-22, 2016

Meanwhile, Clinton has advantages on eight other issues. However, aside from education (+26) and healthcare (+16) these tend to be lower-ranking concerns: climate change (+38), the treatment of minority groups in the U.S. (+38), social issues such as gay marriage and abortion (+33), foreign affairs (+21), income and wealth distribution (+8), and immigration (+8).

Hillary Clinton Issue Advantages

Based on U.S. adults

 

High importance to vote^

Prefer Clinton on issue

Prefer Trump on issue

Advantage

 

%

%

%

 

Education

86

61

35

Clinton +26

Healthcare and the Affordable Care Act

83

56

40

Clinton +16

Foreign affairs

74

59

38

Clinton +21

Immigration

69

52

44

Clinton +8

The treatment of minority groups in this country

66

67

29

Clinton +38

The distribution of income and wealth in the U.S.

65

51

43

Clinton +8

Social issues such as gay marriage and abortion

48

64

31

Clinton +33

Climate change

47

66

28

Clinton +38

^ Percentage saying the candidates' positions on the issue will be extremely/very important issue to influencing their vote for president

Gallup, May 18-22, 2016

Trade, a relatively low-ranked election issue, is the one area where the candidates are tied. Neither Clinton's foreign policy credentials nor Trump's business credentials and emphasis on trade policies in his campaign have given either candidate an advantage on the issue. Both Trump and Clinton are on record opposing the Trans-Pacific Partnership now being debated in Congress.

Trump Leads on Higher-Profile Issues, but by Slimmer Margins

On average, 75% of Americans rate the eight issues Trump leads on as extremely or very important to their vote, slightly higher than the 67% who rate the eight issues Clinton leads on this highly.

At the same time, Clinton tends to have much larger advantages on the issues on which she is favored than Trump has on the issues on which he is favored. Clinton leads on her eight issues by an average of 24 points, while Trump leads by a 10-point average on his eight. Clinton's ratings on the issues may also be somewhat suppressed to the extent supporters of Bernie Sanders are reluctant to say positive things about her while he is still actively contesting the nomination.

Bottom Line

More Americans prefer Trump than Clinton to handle the issues of utmost importance to voters this fall -- the economy in general as well as employment and jobs, specifically. More broadly, Trump's center of gravity on the issues is a little higher on the priority scale than Clinton's. On the other hand, the candidates are tied in the sheer number of issues on which each is preferred. And while Clinton tends to lead Trump by wide margins in the issues for which she is favored, Trump's leads are a bit tenuous and could more easily dwindle or disappear. Still, as of today, the issue advantage seems to go to Trump.

From http://www.gallup.com/poll/192104/trump-leads-clinton-top-ranking-economic-issues.aspx?utm_source=alert&utm_medium=email&utm_content=morelink&utm_campaign=syndication