Just Half of Americans Confident Economic Recovery to Continue
Press release from the issuing company
Wednesday, March 21st, 2012
Americans are sharply divided on whether the economic recovery will continue throughout 2012, according to a new poll released today by Bankrate.com. Fifty percent are very or somewhat confident that the recovery will continue, whereas 48% are not too confident or not at all confident.
"The lack of conviction about a sustained economic recovery could become a self-fulfilling prophecy if it translates into less consumer spending," said Greg McBride, CFA, senior financial analyst for Bankrate.com. "Consumers power 70 percent of economic growth, and a hesitant consumer delays recovery in the housing market and the overall economy."
Bankrate.com's overall Financial Security Index dipped from 97.3 to 97.0 this month, the same level as March 2011. In the past 12 months, readings have fluctuated between a high of 98.5 in May 2011 and a low point of 92.3 in August 2011. Any reading below 100 indicates a lower level of financial security compared with 12 months earlier.
Three of the five components of the Financial Security Index – debt, net worth and overall financial situation – declined in March 2012. One component (job security) held steady, and one (savings) increased for the fourth consecutive month. Of the five components, only job security has improved over the past year.
Will the Economic Recovery Continue Throughout 2012?
- 13% very confident
- 37% somewhat confident – tend to be those under 30, households with income above $75,000 per year and/or college graduates
- 26% not too confident – typically live in rural communities and/or the Northeast U.S.
- 22% not at all confident – mostly those age 50 and up, households with income under $50,000 per year, those with a high school education or less, the unemployed and/or retirees
- Consumers that are more comfortable with their savings and debt, report higher net worth and an improved financial situation relative to one year ago are most likely to: be under age 50, have a college education and/or have household income of $75,000 or above per year
- Those that are less comfortable with their savings and debt, report lower net worth and an overall financial situation that has deteriorated compared to one year ago tend to: be age 50 and up, have no more than a high school education and/or have household income under $30,000 per year
- Among retirees, those saying their financial situation is worse now than one year ago outnumber those saying it is better by a ratio of three-to-one (36% to 12%)